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CESifo Economic Studies 2008 54(2):229-247; doi:10.1093/cesifo/ifn013
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© The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Demand for Higher Education Programs: The Impact of the Bologna Process

Ana Rute Cardoso*, Miguel Portela{dagger}, Carla Sá{ddagger} and Fernando Alexandre§

* IZA Bonn, e-mail: cardoso{at}iza.org
{dagger} University of Minho, NIPE and IZA Bonn, e-mail: mangelo{at}eeg.uminho.pt
{ddagger}University of Minho, NIPE and CIPES
§University of Minho and NIPE, e-mail: falex{at}eeg.uminho.pt

While several aspects of the Bologna process deserve wide public support, the reduction of the length of the first cycle of studies to three years in several continental European countries, where it used to last for four or five years, is less consensual. This paper checks the extent of public confidence in the restructuring of higher education currently underway by looking at its impact on the demand for academic programs in Portugal. We concentrate on students revealed first preference when applying to higher education. Results indicate that the programs that restructured to follow the Bologna principles were subject to higher demand than comparable programs that did not restructure; that effect, however, varies across fields of study and with program size. (JEL codes: I28, I21, F15)

Key Words: European Higher Education Area • education policy • count data • first preference.



Corresponding author: Carla Sá, Escola de Economia e Gestão, Universidade do Minho, Campus de Gualtar, 4710 057 Braga, Portugal, e-mail: cangelica{at}eeg.uminho.pt.

We profited from discussions with Nelson Areal and the participants in the NIPE Seminar (Universidade do Minho, Braga, Portugal, 2007) and the CESifo Summer Institute (Venice, Italy, 2007). We also benefited from extremely useful comments by Romina Boarini, Rick van der Ploeg and anonymous reviewers.


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