CESifo Economic Studies Advance Access originally published online on February 23, 2006
CESifo Economic Studies 2006 52(1):32-60; doi:10.1093/cesifo/ifj002
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The UK and the Eurozone
The article reviews the case for the UK to join the Eurozone by way of presenting a review of HM Treasury's widely well-regarded "Euro Report" (2003). The review provides an opportunity to rehearse and update the elements of optimum currency area (OCA) theory. In particular, the study draws attention to fresh estimates of the trade effect of the UK's adhesion to the Eurozone, the small size of which sharply contrasts with earlier estimates. They substantially remove a challenge to the Report's negative conclusion. The study sets the review in the perspective of public opinion surveys and HM Government's decisions. (JEL codes: E42, F0, F15)
* Michael Artis, European University Institute, Economics Department, Villa San Paolo, via della Piazzuola 43, 50133 Florence, Italy, e-mail: michael.artis@iue.it. Present address: Institute for Political and Economic Governance, Manchester University, Williamson Building, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9L, UK, e-mail: michael.artis{at}manchester.ac.uk
An earlier version of this article was presented at the CEPR-ESI conference "EMU enlargement to the East and West", Budapest 2425 September 2004. Thanks are due to participants in that conference who provided helpful comments as well as to Peter Claeys who provided research assistance, to the anonymous referee of this journal and to Roel Beetsma.