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CESifo Economic Studies Advance Access published online on April 24, 2009

CESifo Economic Studies, doi:10.1093/cesifo/ifp008
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© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Bringing the Copenhagen Global Climate Change Negotiations to Conclusion1

John Whalley* and Sean Walsh{dagger}

In this article we discuss the global negotiations now underway and aimed at achieving new climate change mitigation and other arrangements after 2012 (the end of the Kyoto commitment period). These were initiated in Bali in December 2007 and are scheduled to conclude by the end of 2009 in Copenhagen. As such, this negotiation is effectively the second round in ongoing global negotiations on climate change and further rounds will almost certainly follow. We highlight both the vast scope and vagueness of the negotiating mandate, the many outstanding major issues to be accommodated between negotiating parties, the lack of a mechanism to force collective decision making in the negotiation, and their short time frame. The likely lack of compliance with prior Kyoto commitments by several OECD countries (some to a major degree), the effective absence in Kyoto of compliance/enforcement mechanisms, and growing linkage to non-climate change areas (principally trade) all further complicate the task of bringing the negotiation to conclusion. The major clearage we see that needs to be bridged in the negotiations is between OECD countries on the one hand, and lower wage, large population, rapidly growing countries (China, India, Russia, Brazil) on the other. (JEL codes: F33, F51, F53, Q54, Q56, P28)

Key Words: climate change • international negotiation • international institutions • transition economies • OECD



{dagger} Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. Email: swalsh{at}cigionline.org


* Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada/CESifo. Email: jwhalley{at}uwo.ca


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